Prediction of Alexey Aleshchev vs Luca Staeheli at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 12-03-25

• Recent second serve performance favors Luca Staeheli slightly, with a 40.17% win rate compared to Alexey Aleshchev's 39.88%. Could this marginal difference impact the match?
• In return games, Aleshchev stands out by winning 47.11% of opponent's second serve points, surpassing Staeheli's 43.80% success rate. Does this indicate a potential edge for Aleshchev?
• First serve return performance favors Staeheli, who wins 30.51% of these points over Aleshchev's 29.44%. Will this advantage translate into match success?
• Under pressure, Aleshchev has saved 50.21% of breakpoints in recent months, slightly better than Staeheli's save rate of 48.49%.
• Overall performance in the past year gives Staeheli a higher win percentage at 71.43% compared to Aleshchev's 61.29%.
• On hard courts, both players share equal success rates of 55%. However, Staeheli performs significantly better on clay with a 58% win rate, compared to Aleshchev's 41%.
• A look at player level competitions shows Staeheli having a 71.43% win streak in ITF tournaments, versus Aleshchev's 62.30%.
• Aleshchev has faced stronger opponents with an average rank of 134.26, compared to Staeheli’s opponent average rank of 325.95. How could this experience influence the match?
• In deciding sets, Staeheli shows a stronger track record, winning 62% of these, compared to Aleshchev's 33% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (December 2, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the upcoming match between Alexey Aleshchev and Luca Staeheli, several performance metrics stand out that could influence the outcome. Staeheli's slightly better second serve results and superior clay court performance suggest resilience in areas where Aleshchev might face difficulties.

Despite Aleshchev's impressive ability to challenge higher-ranked opponents, Staeheli's overall win percentage signifies greater consistency over the past year. Furthermore, Staeheli's strong record in deciding sets indicates a mental edge that could prove decisive in tightly-contested situations.

Although Aleshchev displays a solid return game, the combination of Staeheli's strengths and his track record under pressure makes him a slightly favored contender in this matchup. Thus, Luca Staeheli is predicted to emerge victorious in the upcoming match.